Authors | Institution | |
Mohammed Alkhalifah Sami A. Aldaham J. Acuna |
Al-Imam Muhammad bin Saud Islamic University (IMSIU) Florida International University, Miami, Florida, USA |
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Association between different races and overall survival of melanoma patients in adult U.S. population over 3 decades |
Melanoma is a treatable and preventable skin cancer. It is responsible for 75% of deaths among all skin cancers. Melanoma rates are higher recently than 20 years ago. In 2015, there will be an estimated 9940 deaths in the U.S. However, there are no studies that cover 30 years and take race into account for the U.S. population.
This study is a secondary analysis of a non-concurrent retrospective cohort study of adults in the U.S. who were diagnosed with primary cutaneous melanoma from 1982-2011. Data were from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) Program. The final sample size was 185219. The outcome was overall survival. The main exposure was race/ethnicity. The chi-square test was used to study the association between categorical variables. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to estimate overall survival. Cox proportional hazards regression was to estimate unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios (HR). Collinearity was assessed as well. A p-value less than 0.05 and 95% confidence interval (CI) was used.
In the 1982-2011 period most of the patients among all U.S. races were diagnosed at localized stage. Overall, more men were diagnosed than women. Highest mortality rate among group ages were between 30-39. More cases were diagnosed in the most recent decade. The association between vital status and other variables was statistically significant. In 2002-2011, only 5.2% of individuals with melanoma died. Before controlling for other risk factors, non-Hispanic Black patients had an HR of 4.3 (95% CI 4.0-4.5). In the adjusted model, their HR was 0.7 (95% CI 0.6-0.8) in comparison with the reference group of non-Hispanic white patients. Logically and analytically, the more advanced the stage at diagnosis, the worse survival the patient had in general (P-value was <0.001 for age categories). Median follow-up was 81 months and no collinearity was observed in the adjusted model.
In conclusion, survival was affected by race. The non-Hispanic Black patients had the lowest HR of 0.7 (95% CI 0.5-0.7) in comparison to the reference group of non-Hispanic White patients. The less severe the stage at diagnosis, the better the survival. The aging process increases HR.
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